Giants @ Blue Jays [ Blue Jays +106 / 8 ]

Giants | 52-46 (53.1%) Logan Webb (R) | 9-6 | WHIP: 1.17 | ERA: 2.94
Blue Jays | 56-40 (58.3%) Eric Lauer (L) | 4-2 | WHIP: 1.04 | ERA: 2.78

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Giants
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Giants Situational Notes

Blue Jays Situational Notes

Giants Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20TOR [ 0 ]Jose Berrios (R)SFG -
TOR -		-SFG [ 0 ]Robbie Ray (L)
7/19TOR [ 0 ]Eric Lauer (L)SFG -124
TOR +106		8SFG [ 0 ]Logan Webb (R)
7/18TOR [ 4 ]Chris Bassitt (R)SFG +120
TOR -136		8.5SFG [ 0 ]Justin Verlander (R)
7/13SFG [ 2 ]Robbie Ray (L)SFG -
LAD -142		-LAD [ 5 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
7/12SFG [ 1 ]Landen Roupp (R)SFG +132
LAD -156		8.5LAD [ 2 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)
7/11SFG [ 8 ]Logan Webb (R)SFG -134
LAD +114		7.5LAD [ 7 ]Dustin May (R)
7/9SFG [ 0 ]Justin Verlander (R)SFG +116
PHI -136		8PHI [ 13 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
7/8SFG [ 4 ]Robbie Ray (L)SFG -154
PHI +130		8PHI [ 3 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
7/7SFG [ 3 ]Landen Roupp (R)SFG +114
PHI -134		7.5PHI [ 1 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
7/6ATH [ 2 ]Jacob Lopez (L)SFG +110
ATH -130		10SFG [ 6 ]Hayden Birdsong (R)
Blue Jays Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20TOR [ 0 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -
SFG -		-SFG [ 0 ]Robbie Ray (L)
7/19TOR [ 0 ]Eric Lauer (L)TOR +106
SFG -124		8SFG [ 0 ]Logan Webb (R)
7/18TOR [ 4 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -142
SFG +116		8.5SFG [ 0 ]Justin Verlander (R)
7/13ATH [ 6 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)TOR -
ATH +112		-TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)
7/12ATH [ 4 ]Jacob Lopez (L)TOR -142
ATH +120		10TOR [ 3 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
7/11ATH [ 6 ]Luis Severino (R)TOR -178
ATH +150		10.5TOR [ 7 ]Max Scherzer (R)
7/9CHW [ 2 ]Adrian Houser (R)TOR -142
CHW +120		8TOR [ 1 ]Eric Lauer (L)
7/8CHW [ 1 ]Aaron Civale (R)TOR -196
CHW +166		8.5TOR [ 6 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
7/7CHW [ 4 ]Sean Burke (R)TOR -168
CHW +140		8.5TOR [ 8 ]Jose Berrios (R)
7/6TOR [ 3 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -188
LAA +158		9LAA [ 2 ]Tyler Anderson (L)

Logan Webb Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11SFG [ 8 ]LAD [ 7 ]-1347.55.33616266Dustin May (R)
7/5ATH [ 2 ]SFG [ 7 ]-17896.67637022Luis Severino (R)
6/30ARI [ 4 ]SFG [ 2 ]-1488.56.33717133Ryne Nelson (R)
6/25SFG [ 5 ]MIA [ 8 ]-2356.56636022Edward Cabrera (R)
6/19SFG [ 2 ]CLE [ 1 ]-19077907011Gavin Williams (R)
6.276.81.66.60.62.82.8
Eric Lauer Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/9CHW [ 2 ]TOR [ 1 ]-14284714022Adrian Houser (R)
7/4TOR [ 4 ]LAA [ 3 ]-1659.56613022Kyle Hendricks (R)
6/29BOS [ 3 ]TOR [ 5 ]-1169.54.33407133Walker Buehler (R)
6/24CLE [ 6 ]TOR [ 10 ]-1188.55.33535111Logan Allen (L)
6/18TOR [ 8 ]ARI [ 1 ]-10495814011Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
4.9361.24.60.41.81.8
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Webb F56-9-5 (40%)3-2-5 (60%)2-6-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Logan Webb11-9 (55%)6-4 (60%)3-5 (37.5%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Eric Lauer F54-3-1 (57.1%)0-0-1 (-)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Eric Lauer6-2 (75%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Webb F58-11-1 (42.1%)4-5-1 (44.4%)3-5-0 (37.5%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Logan Webb9-10-1 (47.4%)5-5-0 (50%)2-5-1 (28.6%)0-0-0 (-)2-0-0 (100%)
Eric Lauer F52-5-0 (28.6%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Eric Lauer2-6-0 (25%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Giants vs. LHP F54-15-7 (21.1%)1-5-2 (16.7%)1-4-0 (20%)0-2-1 (0%)2-4-4 (33.3%)
Giants vs. LHP10-16 (38.5%)2-6 (25%)3-2 (60%)1-2 (33.3%)4-6 (40%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F532-31-10 (50.8%)11-9-3 (55%)3-4-0 (42.9%)5-7-1 (41.7%)11-11-6 (50%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP42-31 (57.5%)14-9 (60.9%)4-3 (57.1%)8-5 (61.5%)14-14 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Giants vs. LHP F59-13-2 (40.9%)1-4-2 (20%)2-2-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-5-0 (50%)
Giants vs. LHP13-11-2 (54.2%)3-5-0 (37.5%)2-2-1 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)6-3-1 (66.7%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F530-37-4 (44.8%)8-14-0 (36.4%)4-2-1 (66.7%)7-5-1 (58.3%)10-15-2 (40%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP38-34-1 (52.8%)10-13-0 (43.5%)4-3-0 (57.1%)10-3-0 (76.9%)14-13-1 (51.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Webb8-12 (40%)3-7 (30%)3-5 (37.5%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Giants43-55 (43.9%)9-29 (23.7%)9-15 (37.5%)8-2 (80%)17-9 (65.4%)
Eric Lauer3-3 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Blue Jays54-39 (58.1%)14-15 (48.3%)4-8 (33.3%)13-5 (72.2%)23-11 (67.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Webb9-11 (45%)3-7 (30%)4-4 (50%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Giants49-49 (50%)16-22 (42.1%)14-10 (58.3%)5-5 (50%)14-12 (53.8%)
Eric Lauer4-4 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)
Blue Jays51-46 (52.6%)15-14 (51.7%)5-7 (41.7%)10-8 (55.6%)18-16 (52.9%)


Batting Matchup
GiantsBlue Jays
98TG97
4.1R/G4.6
89HR101
0.23AVG0.259
45SB52
17CS15
GiantsBlue Jays
0.139ISO0.145
0.281BABIP0.293
0.309OBP0.33
0.369SLG0.404
0.3wOBA0.321
94wRC+105
GiantsBlue Jays
9.4BB%8.8
22.9K%17.6
0.41BB/K0.5
7.4Barrel%8.4
37.3HardHit%41
8.6WAR17.9

Pitching Matchup
Logan WebbEric Lauer
20G14
20GS8
125.2IP55
6.3IP/G3.9
9W4
6L2
76.2LOB%83
Logan WebbEric Lauer
9.95K/99.49
2.01BB/92.62
21.6K/BB%19.1
51.8GB%31.5
24.9FB%51
0.64HR/90.98
10.7HR/FB%8.2
Logan WebbEric Lauer
0.328BABIP0.254
2.94ERA2.78
3.4xERA3.17
2.52FIP3.37
2.58xFIP3.93
1.17WHIP1.04
2.96SIERA3.54
3.4WAR0.9

Bullpen Matchup
GiantsBlue Jays
3.12BPU/G3.43
3.4IP/G3.8
23W28
14L13
26SV28
12BS17
74.5LOB%73.8
GiantsBlue Jays
8K/99.96
3.15BB/93.69
13.1K/BB%16.6
48.7GB%39.9
32.8FB%41.2
0.83HR/91.03
10.1HR/FB%10.7
GiantsBlue Jays
0.261BABIP0.272
3.09ERA3.54
3.7FIP3.78
3.86xFIP3.89
1.15WHIP1.2
3.68SIERA3.44
2.3WAR2.8