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Testing Page - WNBA | themoneyballer.com
Current Sport: WNBA | Algorithms: 13 total | Reading from snapshot_algo table

WNBA Model Results for July 22, 2025

GameHome TeamAway TeamAlgorithmSeason ValueRecent ValueSite ValueRecommended BetUnits
Game 1AcesDreamCover: High Volume Elite0.40290.63520.3634Dream (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.47170.51520.4766No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.48700.0935N/ADream (Recent)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.45990.45990.4599Dream (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.47730.49460.5186No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.46940.44070.4686No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.47010.45250.4548No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.47670.44230.4457Dream (Recent)1
Cover: Original Cover0.33140.42280.5416Dream (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.51950.53810.5306No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.50000.58430.4883Over (Recent)2
Total: Opponent and D0.11970.14610.1195No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.98420.98100.9875Over (Season)2
GAME SUMMARY5.0u on Dream4.0u on Over
Game 2LibertyFeverCover: High Volume Elite0.51320.65460.5347Liberty (Recent)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.48940.48230.5307No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.51560.6698N/ALiberty (Recent)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.46500.46500.4650Fever (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.52420.49400.5987No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.48750.48590.4780No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.48120.47430.4812No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.47360.47860.4487Fever (Site)1
Cover: Original Cover0.66520.48640.8579Liberty (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.51980.46430.5891No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.40670.47600.2379Under (Season)2
Total: Opponent and D0.08660.09380.0952No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.98650.98750.9833Over (Season)2
GAME SUMMARY2.0u on LibertyNo total bet
Game 3LynxSkyCover: High Volume Elite0.33440.15690.3291Sky (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.48800.51290.5370No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.34620.0041N/ASky (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.46500.46500.4650Sky (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.52160.57930.5666No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.47220.45950.4744No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.47390.46630.4803No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.42570.43110.4246Sky (Season)1
Cover: Original Cover0.91070.79680.9411Lynx (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.56830.66090.5861No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.52200.38970.3677Under (Recent)2
Total: Opponent and D0.10630.12050.1023No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.98190.98100.9806Over (Season)2
GAME SUMMARY1.0u on SkyNo total bet
Game 4MysticsSparksCover: High Volume Elite0.48060.39470.5093Sparks (Recent)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.44260.40110.4047No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.34850.9592N/ASparks (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.46500.46500.4650Sparks (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.45570.39470.3650No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.49530.52030.5028No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.49000.50700.4991No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.48740.52690.4992Mystics (Recent)0.5
Cover: Original Cover0.56950.40780.5749Sparks (Recent)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.44540.38940.4296No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.52420.56000.4707Over (Recent)1
Total: Opponent and D0.09320.07460.0857No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.98430.98680.9840Over (Season)2
GAME SUMMARY3.5u on Sparks3.0u on Over
Game 5StormWingsCover: High Volume Elite0.39660.22850.4364Wings (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.47810.46990.5010No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.37510.1331N/AWings (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.46500.46500.4650Wings (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.50200.49930.5077No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.48910.50560.5049No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.48340.50280.4898No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.46440.48580.4677Wings (Season)0.5
Cover: Original Cover0.73610.70070.8247Storm (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.52610.52710.5450No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.64920.71940.7340Over (Season)2
Total: Opponent and D0.09760.09770.0810No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.98420.98090.9865Over (Season)2
GAME SUMMARY0.5u on Wings4.0u on Over



WNBA Season Algorithm Performance Analysis (2025 Season through July 22, 2025)

Split Performance Summary

Split TypeWin%RecordNet UnitsROI
Season52.3%284-2599.241.7%
Recent50.5%306-300-8.59-1.4%
Site51%278-267-11.04-2%

Detailed Algorithm Performance Analysis

AlgorithmSplitWin%RecordNet UnitsAlgorithm Totals
Win%RecordNet Units
Cover: High Volume EliteSeason54.4%31-262.2152.1%99-91-0.91
Recent53.7%36-311.76
Site48.5%32-34-4.88
Cover: Ultra EliteSeason100%2-01.8236.1%13-23-11.17
Recent28.6%6-15-9.54
Site38.5%5-8-3.45
Cover: Pace and SpaceSeason51.3%41-39-1.0551.3%101-96-2.55
Recent48.8%40-42-3.00
Site57.1%20-151.50
Cover: ScheduleSeason54.2%45-388.6354.2%135-11425.89
Recent54.2%45-388.63
Site54.2%45-388.63
Cover: MomentumSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Cover: Normalized StandardSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Cover: DifferentialsSeason66.7%2-10.4046.2%6-7-0.80
Recent37.5%3-5-1.15
Site50%1-1-0.05
Cover: Net RatingsSeason52.4%33-30-1.0552.1%100-920.42
Recent50%31-310.27
Site53.7%36-311.20
Cover: Original CoverSeason45.5%35-42-21.0646.6%110-126-42.90
Recent45.6%36-43-14.54
Site48.8%39-41-7.30
Total: Pace + Ratings + FTSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Total: Rating Paint FocusSeason56.1%37-2910.9454.3%121-10213.00
Recent57.7%45-337.18
Site49.4%39-40-5.12
Total: Opponent and DSeason57.4%31-2312.4155.7%103-8238.35
Recent56.3%36-2817.97
Site53.7%36-317.97
Total: Original TotalSeason46.6%27-31-4.0146.2%80-93-29.72
Recent45.2%28-34-16.17
Site47.2%25-28-9.54
OVERALL SUMMARY51.2%868-826-10.3951.2%868-826-10.39
Key Insights:
  • Total WNBA Bets Placed: 1,694
  • Overall Win Rate: 51.2%
  • Net Units: -10.39
  • ROI: -0.6%