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Testing Page - WNBA | themoneyballer.com
Current Sport: WNBA | Algorithms: 13 total | Reading from snapshot_algo table

WNBA Model Results for July 9, 2025

GameHome TeamAway TeamAlgorithmSeason ValueRecent ValueSite ValueRecommended BetUnits
Game 1FeverValkyriesCover: High Volume Elite0.32990.14200.4567Valkyries (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.44230.50230.4738No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.25090.09120.7160Valkyries (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.45840.45840.4584Valkyries (Season)0.5
Cover: Momentum0.53370.54150.6046No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.44820.46420.4549No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.45640.45200.4618No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.44710.46200.4443Valkyries (Season)1
Cover: Original Cover0.48790.27060.7712Valkyries (Recent)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.47320.38680.4048No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.47630.39430.4810Under (Recent)2
Total: Opponent and D0.57940.60010.5580No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.49590.56610.5256Over (Recent)1
GAME SUMMARY5.0u on Valkyries1.0u on Under
Game 2MercuryLynxCover: High Volume Elite0.50890.72980.5019Mercury (Recent)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.44860.47750.5105No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.37260.65650.0037Lynx (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.38700.38700.3870Lynx (Season)2
Cover: Momentum0.48710.54050.5803No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.47790.44510.4787No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.45140.43510.4549No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.44030.42070.4325Lynx (Season)1
Cover: Original Cover0.57600.65450.7678Mercury (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.49120.47290.5370No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.33460.16930.4341Under (Season)2
Total: Opponent and D0.50640.53750.4997No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.57150.61390.5697Over (Recent)2
GAME SUMMARY0.5u on LynxNo total bet
Game 3SkyWingsCover: High Volume Elite0.33780.41500.6214Wings (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.46010.41630.4379No Bet0
Cover: Pace and Space0.27870.57340.9749Wings (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.60280.60280.6028Sky (Season)2
Cover: Momentum0.42780.35200.3213No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.47560.47440.4834No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.47310.46440.4744No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.49370.48760.5098No Bet0
Cover: Original Cover0.38360.43140.3214Wings (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.49720.52880.4029No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.70670.84150.8852Over (Season)2
Total: Opponent and D0.53710.53810.5112No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.55650.59760.6065Over (Recent)2
GAME SUMMARY1.5u on Wings4.0u on Over
Game 4SunStormCover: High Volume Elite0.55590.53010.1496Sun (Season)1
Cover: Ultra Elite0.45380.39360.4253Storm (Recent)1
Cover: Pace and Space0.36170.02280.0021Storm (Season)0.5
Cover: Schedule0.44390.44390.4439Storm (Season)1
Cover: Momentum0.43790.35180.3742No Bet0
Cover: Normalized Standard0.45060.46260.4290No Bet0
Cover: Differentials0.46960.47410.4620No Bet0
Cover: Net Ratings0.45610.46860.4227Storm (Site)1
Cover: Original Cover0.33960.34660.6203Storm (Season)2
Total: Pace + Ratings + FT0.40120.30610.4193No Bet0
Total: Rating Paint Focus0.69370.85630.7676Over (Season)2
Total: Opponent and D0.60100.58250.6389No Bet0
Total: Original Total0.55500.57570.5417Over (Recent)2
GAME SUMMARY4.5u on Storm4.0u on Over



WNBA Season Algorithm Performance Analysis (2025 Season through July 9, 2025)

Split Performance Summary

Split TypeWin%RecordNet UnitsROI
Season53.1%207-1833.260.8%
Recent51.8%228-212-2.85-0.6%
Site48.6%323-341-34.95-5.3%

Detailed Algorithm Performance Analysis

AlgorithmSplitWin%RecordNet UnitsAlgorithm Totals
Win%RecordNet Units
Cover: High Volume EliteSeason55.8%24-192.8450.6%91-89-6.19
Recent56.9%29-224.39
Site44.2%38-48-13.42
Cover: Ultra EliteSeason100%1-00.9139.5%15-23-9.35
Recent23.1%3-10-7.27
Site45.8%11-13-2.99
Cover: Pace and SpaceSeason54.4%31-260.9548.8%100-105-7.50
Recent54.2%32-270.90
Site41.6%37-52-9.35
Cover: ScheduleSeason55.7%34-279.5254.7%116-9626.73
Recent55.7%34-279.52
Site53.3%48-427.69
Cover: MomentumSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Cover: Normalized StandardSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Cover: DifferentialsSeason66.7%2-10.4053.8%7-60.15
Recent60%3-20.35
Site40%2-3-0.60
Cover: Net RatingsSeason47.9%23-25-4.9348.8%80-84-15.32
Recent50%24-24-3.56
Site48.5%33-35-6.83
Cover: Original CoverSeason46.4%26-30-17.2947.8%96-105-33.69
Recent44.8%26-32-11.83
Site50.6%44-43-4.57
Total: Pace + Ratings + FTSeason0%0-00.000%0-00.00
Recent0%0-00.00
Site0%0-00.00
Total: Rating Paint FocusSeason55.3%26-216.1153.3%104-916.98
Recent55.2%32-262.54
Site51.1%46-44-1.67
Total: Opponent and DSeason58.8%20-146.1254.4%81-6816.22
Recent56.8%25-199.95
Site50.7%36-350.15
Total: Original TotalSeason50%20-20-1.3749.6%68-69-12.57
Recent46.5%20-23-7.84
Site51.9%28-26-3.36
OVERALL SUMMARY50.7%758-736-34.5450.7%758-736-34.54
Key Insights:
  • Total WNBA Bets Placed: 1,494
  • Overall Win Rate: 50.7%
  • Net Units: -34.54
  • ROI: -2.3%