{"id":4643,"date":"2026-02-26T16:24:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-26T16:24:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=4643"},"modified":"2026-02-26T16:25:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T16:25:26","slug":"free-play-lakers-to-extend-the-suns-ats-losing-streak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2026\/02\/26\/free-play-lakers-to-extend-the-suns-ats-losing-streak\/","title":{"rendered":"Free – Lakers to extend the Suns ATS losing streak"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los Angeles Lakers (34-23) <\/strong>visit the Phoenix Suns (33-26).<\/strong> Using the stats, insights, and tools over at TheMoneyBaller.com<\/a>, the play is Los Angeles Lakers -4.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Lakers enter in a spot to bounce-back after dropping a heartbreaker at home to the Magic. They also have two Baller Systems supporting them: “Back late season medium road favorites” (15-9-1 this season, 62.5%) and “Back road favorite off loss as a home favorite” (17-13, 56.7%). On the other side, Phoenix is playing their 4th game in 6 nights \u2014 a punishing schedule that should show up in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Historical Matchups:<\/strong> The Suns have been profitable against the Lakers historically, but tonight should be different. The Lakers are completely healthy (their “Big 3” of Luka, Lebron, and Reaves are all in without restrictions) and the Suns come in severely lacking in health, missing both Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. No model will get to this price, but the Suns are not who they have been.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Statistical Edges:<\/strong> The Lakers have advantages in Offensive Rating (116.98, 8th vs. 115.3, 15th), dominant Paint FG% (62.64, 1st), and are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to FT Rate (31.97, 1st vs. 22.09, 29th), and EFG% (56.79, 2nd vs. 53.3, 20th). Without 2\/3 of their primary scorers in Booker and Brooks this gulf will only widen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trends to Note:<\/strong> The most compelling trend is the Suns at just 27.3% (3-8) ATS at home in the last 30 days \u2014 among the worst marks in the league. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 75% (6-2) ATS as a favorite over the same stretch. Full season, Lakers as an away favorite sit at a strong 10-5 ATS (66.7%), and they cover at 68.8% as a favorite in the 2.5-7 range \u2014 right where this line sits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Suns’ have lost the last 5 games ATS and I expect that to become 6 tonight. Take Lakers -4.5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-110) Los Angeles Lakers (34-23) visit the Phoenix Suns (33-26). Using the stats, insights, and tools over at TheMoneyBaller.com, the play is Los Angeles Lakers -4.5. The Lakers enter in a spot to bounce-back after dropping a heartbreaker at home to the Magic. They also have two Baller Systems supporting them: “Back late season medium […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t