{"id":4041,"date":"2025-03-09T17:39:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-09T17:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=4041"},"modified":"2025-05-31T17:02:59","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T17:02:59","slug":"%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-march-9th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2025\/03\/09\/%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-march-9th\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udccaActive Systems for March 9th"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc071bdd5-c08d-437c-94a7-362fbab16e47_1197x673.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc071bdd5-c08d-437c-94a7-362fbab16e47_1197x673.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Lipscomb&nbsp;<strong>is 11-0 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when favored by less than 8.5 points with a total under 154.5.&nbsp;<em>They are also 11-0 SU in this scenario, winning by an average of +12.5 PPG.<br><\/em>\u2753<em>Lower totals usually indicate a more controlled game pace, where efficiency and execution matter. Lipscomb excels in these matchups, likely because they can dictate tempo and take advantage of favorable offensive matchups.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaNorth Alabama<strong>&nbsp;is 0-11 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;as an underdog against teams averaging more than 7.7 made threes per game when the total is below 152.5.&nbsp;<em>They are also 0-11 SU in this spot, losing by an average of -17 PPG.<br><\/em>\u2753<em>When facing teams with strong outside shooting, North Alabama likely fails to keep up offensively. The lower total suggests a game with fewer possessions, making it even harder for them to close scoring gaps against teams that capitalize on three-point efficiency.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd622:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Lipscomb Bisons -4.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2The Seattle Kraken&nbsp;<strong>are 0-8 SU<\/strong>&nbsp;since April 2024 playing as underdogs, while on a back-to-back (no rest).&nbsp;<em>They have lost those games by an average of -2.5 goals per game.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F537141c6-0028-44bf-b5ac-ddfbbbd1f73f_1021x560.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F537141c6-0028-44bf-b5ac-ddfbbbd1f73f_1021x560.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd623:30 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9Seattle are 0-9 SU this season playing with no rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83e\udd45<strong>Joey Daccord<\/strong>&nbsp;<em>(12)<\/em>&nbsp;\/&nbsp;<strong>Charlie Lindgren<\/strong>&nbsp;<em>(100)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Washington Capitals ML<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2The Minnesota Wild&nbsp;<strong>are 10-0 SU<\/strong>&nbsp;since 2016 playing daytime home game vs a below .550 team on a 2+ game losing streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a005c4d-6a74-4699-a29f-3c43aa1e03dc_1009x608.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8a005c4d-6a74-4699-a29f-3c43aa1e03dc_1009x608.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaThe Minnesota Wild<strong>&nbsp;are 10-0 SU<\/strong>&nbsp;this season as favorites vs below .430 opponents playing on better or equal rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d576e02-bd9e-4d12-8003-d9225c16d03a_1042x609.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8d576e02-bd9e-4d12-8003-d9225c16d03a_1042x609.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd623:30 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83e\udd45<strong>Alex Nedeljkovic<\/strong>&nbsp;<em>(37)<\/em>&nbsp;\/&nbsp;<strong>M-A Fleury<\/strong>&nbsp;<em>(81)<br>&#8211; Nedeljkovic has posted a .866 save percentage over his last five starts, and has registered a 3.89 GAA during that stretch.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Minnesota Wild ML<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e42e662-2c3b-44d3-b3e1-0d82ebdc06e9_712x262.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6e42e662-2c3b-44d3-b3e1-0d82ebdc06e9_712x262.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The San Antonio Spurs are 15-0 ATS as a rested underdog of more than 8 points on non-neutral courts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-0-2 to the UNDER against conference opponents who exceeded their scoring average by more than 20 points in their previous game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The New Orleans Pelicans are 0-11 ATS in revenge games with a spread under 10.5, after allowing more than 16 three-pointers in their previous game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Portland Trail Blazers are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents when the spread is under 8.5 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Los Angeles Clippers are 10-0 to the UNDER with fewer than two days of rest, following a win in which they scored fewer than 14 fast-break points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Philadelphia 76ers are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Cleveland Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS against conference opponents after playing a game decided by three points or fewer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 The Phoenix Suns are 7-0 to the OVER as a favorite of more than -12.5 points when facing a team they lost to in the previous matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Tulsa is 0-11-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3.5 points with fewer than six days of rest, after a game where they shot better than 20.8% from three-point range. (vs Wichita State)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Iowa is 0-11 ATS as an underdog following a game where their assist-to-turnover ratio was greater than 1.5. (vs Nebraska)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Temple is 10-0 to the OVER when the total is under 151.5. (vs North Texas)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Oregon is 0-9 ATS as a road favorite against teams they defeated in a previous matchup when the total is under 147.5. (vs Washington)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Tulane is 0-8 ATS as an underdog with fewer than 10 days of rest against teams that average fewer than 7.1 made three-pointers per game. (vs UAB)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Charlotte is 0-8 ATS as a favorite against teams they defeated in a previous matchup. (vs UTSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Minnesota is 7-0 to the UNDER as an underdog of fewer than 15.5 points. (vs Rutgers)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbdad9f97-81bb-40b0-8d2a-07b62bed7e67_795x358.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbdad9f97-81bb-40b0-8d2a-07b62bed7e67_795x358.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u2753 RLM are identified at a certain time during the day. While I report these plays later in the day, some lines may have already moved back. The key takeaway is the early sharp movement which focuses on understanding where the sharp money hit, even if the line has since adjusted. These can still be considered, even if the numbers changed.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0<strong>Utah Jazz ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(+210)<\/em><br>22% of bets \ud83c\udf9f\ufe0f \/ 40% of money \ud83d\udcb5<br>18% Spread<br><strong>\ud83d\udcb2<\/strong><em>Smart Money detected coming in on Utah Jazz ML<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0<strong>Los Angeles Clippers -6.0&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(-110)<\/em>: 41% of public&nbsp;<strong>\ud83d\udcb2<\/strong><br>Sacramento +6.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +5.5 to +6.0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0<strong>Cleveland Cavaliers -8.0&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(-110)<\/em>: 36% of public&nbsp;<strong>\ud83d\udcb2<\/strong><br>Milwaukee +8.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +6.5 to +8.0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2<strong>Columbus Blue Jackets ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(+110)<\/em>: 22% of public&nbsp;<strong>\ud83d\udcb2<\/strong><br>New York Rangers ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -142 to -135<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2<strong>Anaheim Ducks ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(-105)<\/em>: 42% of public&nbsp;<strong>\ud83d\udcb2<\/strong><br>New York Isl. ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -130 to -117<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2<strong>Vancouver Canucks ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(+120)<\/em><br>23% of bets \ud83c\udf9f\ufe0f \/ 59% of money \ud83d\udcb5<br>36% Spread<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2<strong>Winnipeg Jets ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(+110)<\/em><br>50% of bets \ud83c\udf9f\ufe0f \/ 81% of money \ud83d\udcb5<br>31% Spread<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfd2<strong>Anaheim Ducks ML&nbsp;<\/strong><em>(-105)<\/em><br>42% of bets \ud83c\udf9f\ufe0f \/ 63% of money \ud83d\udcb5<br>21% Spread<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>LA CLIPPERS -6.0&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<br>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>CLE\/MIL o239.0&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<br>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>ANA DUCKS ML&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<br>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>VAN\/DAL u6.0&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for reading today\u2019s insights!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you found value in this post, don\u2019t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let\u2019s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you tomorrow with more winning systems \ud83c\udfc6<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4edc95e-4a29-4b86-bc45-6829cd61a6e0_532x223.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe4edc95e-4a29-4b86-bc45-6829cd61a6e0_532x223.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83c\udfc0Lipscomb&nbsp;is 11-0 ATS&nbsp;when favored by less than 8.5 points with a total under 154.5.&nbsp;They are also 11-0 SU in this scenario, winning by an average of +12.5 PPG.\u2753Lower totals usually indicate a more controlled game pace, where efficiency and execution matter. Lipscomb excels in these matchups, likely because they can dictate tempo and take advantage [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":366,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/366"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4041"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4042,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4041\/revisions\/4042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}