{"id":3922,"date":"2025-02-14T22:08:44","date_gmt":"2025-02-14T22:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=3922"},"modified":"2025-02-14T22:08:46","modified_gmt":"2025-02-14T22:08:46","slug":"%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-february-14th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2025\/02\/14\/%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-february-14th\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udccaActive Systems for February 14th"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1a47d738-b20b-49b0-9474-c28acaf810ba_1014x569.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1a47d738-b20b-49b0-9474-c28acaf810ba_1014x569.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 St. Louis<strong>&nbsp;is 0-16 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;as an underdog of fewer than 11.5 points when the total is under 159.5, following a game in which they scored 72 or more points.&nbsp;<em>They are also&nbsp;<strong>0-16 SU<\/strong>&nbsp;in this spot, losing by an average of -15.8 points per game..<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcca Loyola Chicago<strong>&nbsp;is a perfect 7-0 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;as a single-digit favorite against teams averaging more than eight made three-pointers per game when the total is over 131.5.&nbsp;<em>They are also&nbsp;<strong>7-0 SU<\/strong>&nbsp;in this situation, winning by an average of +13.3 points per game.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaLoyola-Chicago<strong>&nbsp;won 12 straight<\/strong>&nbsp;home games when playing at night<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd627:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8Loyola-Chicago are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9St. Louis is 1-5 ATS as road underdogs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9St. Louis are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9St. Louis are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Loyola Chicago Ramblers -2.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4fd7a73e-2ab3-49db-a87a-cca31ea2462f_1105x621.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4fd7a73e-2ab3-49db-a87a-cca31ea2462f_1105x621.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0MAAC home underdogs&nbsp;<strong>are 18-4 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when their spread is +3.5 or smaller and the total is set between 130.0 &amp; 150.0 in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd627:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8Manhattan are 11-3 ATS as underdogs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8Manhattan are 6-1 ATS when their spread is between +1.0 &amp; +4.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8Manhattan are 5-1 ATS vs teams between .500 &amp; .650<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\ud83d\udcb2Smart Money detected coming in on Manhattan<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Manhattan Jaspers +3.0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90437796-563b-45f3-a6b9-6bcfa5183124_1105x621.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F90437796-563b-45f3-a6b9-6bcfa5183124_1105x621.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Fairfield Stags&nbsp;<strong>are 0-7 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;vs teams off an ATS win who averages over 45.5% in shooting% when the total is below 145.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaHome favorites between -3.0 &amp; -7.5 who covered as road underdogs in their last game facing a team who lost their previous game at home&nbsp;<strong>are 19-8 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;vs conference opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd627:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Saint Peter\u2019s Peacocks -2.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F218e9fda-3f3a-4b25-aa76-f74afe3a7895_712x262.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F218e9fda-3f3a-4b25-aa76-f74afe3a7895_712x262.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Kent State&nbsp;<strong>is 0-15 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;following a game in which they scored more than 73 points, when the total is greater than 135.5.&nbsp;<em>(vs OHIO)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Merrimack&nbsp;<strong>is 14-0 to the UNDER&nbsp;<\/strong>as a multiple-point favorite.&nbsp;<em>(vs MANH)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Yale&nbsp;<strong>is 13-0 ATS&nbsp;<\/strong>when the spread is under 11.5 and the total is under 155.5, following a game in which they made more than 7 three-pointers on better than 49% shooting.&nbsp;<em>(vs PENN)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Brown<strong>&nbsp;is 10-0 to the UNDER<\/strong>&nbsp;in revenge games against teams they previously shot under 43% from the field against.&nbsp;<em>(vs YALE)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Niagara&nbsp;<strong>is 0-8 ATS&nbsp;<\/strong>as a favorite, following a home game.&nbsp;<em>(vs MSM)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Fairfield<strong>&nbsp;is 0-7 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;against teams coming off an ATS win, averaging under 45.5% shooting, when the total is under 145.5.&nbsp;<em>(vs SPU)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 Siena&nbsp;<strong>is 8-0 to the OVER<\/strong>&nbsp;at home when they have less than eight days of rest.&nbsp;<em>(vs MRST)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9aaf8554-631b-4903-b0de-2c291d75dc77_795x358.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9aaf8554-631b-4903-b0de-2c291d75dc77_795x358.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u2753 RLM are identified at a certain time during the day. While I report these plays later in the day, some lines may have already moved back. The key takeaway is the early sharp movement which focuses on understanding where the sharp money hit, even if the line has since adjusted. These can still be considered, even if the numbers changed.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>WISCONSIN GB +6.5&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>OHIO\/KENT o146.0<\/strong>&nbsp;is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dA-\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Green Bay Phoenix +6.5<br><\/strong><em>(Spread went from +7.5 to +6.5 despite Northern Kentucky -6.5 receiving 65% of public bets and 90% of the money).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dA\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Rider Broncs +5.5<br><\/strong><em>(Spread went from +6.5 to +5.5 despite Iona receiving 90% of public bets and 92% of the money).<br><\/em><strong>\ud83d\udcb2Smart Money detected coming in on Rider ML<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dA\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Quinnipiac Bobcats -4.0<br><\/strong><em>(Spread went from -2.5 to -4.0 despite Sacred Heart receiving 86% of public bets and 86% of the money).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dB\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Niagara Purple Eagles ML<br><\/strong><em>(Moneyline went from -126 to -132 despite Mount St. Mary\u2019s ML receiving 27% of public bets and 61% of the money).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dB\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Pennsylvania +15.0<br><\/strong><em>(Spread went from +17.5 to +15.0 despite Yale -15.5 receiving 59% of public bets and 61% of the money).<br><\/em><strong>\ud83d\udcb2Smart Money detected coming in on Pennsylvania ATS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for reading today\u2019s insights!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you found value in this post, don\u2019t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let\u2019s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you tomorrow with more winning systems \ud83c\udfc6<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f637ab4-2d4b-45ca-87f9-fd1affc590b4_532x223.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f637ab4-2d4b-45ca-87f9-fd1affc590b4_532x223.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83c\udfc0 St. Louis&nbsp;is 0-16 ATS&nbsp;as an underdog of fewer than 11.5 points when the total is under 159.5, following a game in which they scored 72 or more points.&nbsp;They are also&nbsp;0-16 SU&nbsp;in this spot, losing by an average of -15.8 points per game.. \ud83d\udcca Loyola Chicago&nbsp;is a perfect 7-0 ATS&nbsp;as a single-digit favorite against teams [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":366,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/366"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3922"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3922\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3923,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3922\/revisions\/3923"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}