{"id":3920,"date":"2025-02-13T23:29:52","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T23:29:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=3920"},"modified":"2025-02-13T23:29:55","modified_gmt":"2025-02-13T23:29:55","slug":"%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-february-13th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2025\/02\/13\/%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-february-13th\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udccaActive Systems for February 13th"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca28e195-c455-4076-91b9-094e337098ad_1117x628.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca28e195-c455-4076-91b9-094e337098ad_1117x628.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0The Sacramento Kings<strong>&nbsp;are 27-4 to the UNDER<\/strong>&nbsp;when they covered a smaller than +2.0 spread in their last game and now playing on no rest with a spread between -11.5 and +5.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd628:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9Both teams on back-to-back, leading to fatigue and slower pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcc9Last game was high-scoring, but quick adjustments + fatigue = lower total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>#\ufe0f\u20e3Pelicans&#8217; offense \u27a1\ufe0f 110 PPG (23rd) 44.7% FG (24th).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>#\ufe0f\u20e3Kings weak from three \u27a1\ufe0f 34.4% (25th) limiting explosive runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea<strong>\u201dB+\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the UNDER 235.5<br><\/strong><em>(Total went from 240.0 to 235.5 despite the OVER receiving 71% of public bets and 67% of the money).<br><\/em><strong>\ud83d\udcb2Smart Money detected coming in on the UNDER<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Sacramento @ New Orleans UNDER 235.0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98898326-6c89-4dc0-9216-09b52c4c62e1_1118x630.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F98898326-6c89-4dc0-9216-09b52c4c62e1_1118x630.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0UNC Wilmington<strong>&nbsp;is 16-0 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when the total is above 147.5 and they have less than 6 days of rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaCharleston Cougars&nbsp;<strong>are 0-14-1 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;with totals below 152.0 when they have rest in revenge games vs teams they recorded 10 or more turnovers against in a previous meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd627:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on UNC Wilmington -5.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F687d1a2a-0cea-4850-a774-8da459cd94f0_1120x630.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F687d1a2a-0cea-4850-a774-8da459cd94f0_1120x630.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Montana&nbsp;<strong>are 10-0 to the OVER<\/strong>&nbsp;with rest when the total is below 148.0 and they are coming off a win.&nbsp;<em>These games are going over the total by an average of +14.2 points per game.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccaIdaho State&nbsp;<strong>are 14-0 to the OVER<\/strong>&nbsp;on the road when they gave less than 14 days of rest and they\u2019re coming off a game in which they recorded less than 79 points and less than 6 threes made.&nbsp;<em>These games have gone over the total by an average of +13.8 points per game.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd629:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Idaho State @ Montana OVER 146.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71ab6de6-5e9d-43bf-88d3-8b01ccc4f144_1013x567.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71ab6de6-5e9d-43bf-88d3-8b01ccc4f144_1013x567.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Home favorites with a spread of 8.5+ playing in the Big West&nbsp;<strong>are 25-5-1 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when the total is set below 159.5.&nbsp;<em>This system is on a 8 game win streak.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd6211:00 PM EST &amp; 11:59 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on UC Irvine -8.5 &amp; Hawaii -11.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a44b853-e47b-482a-bccf-bdd42517c666_1016x570.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4a44b853-e47b-482a-bccf-bdd42517c666_1016x570.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Away underdogs of less than 12 points playing in the USA conference and who lost their last game&nbsp;<strong>are 22-5 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when the total is set between 136.0 &amp; 164.0.&nbsp;<em>This system is on a 10 game win streak.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd629:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Florida International +9.5<br>\ud83d\udcb2Smart Money detected coming in on Florida Int. ATS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb3bf830-8092-43f8-80ab-60f1654527d9_1015x572.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb3bf830-8092-43f8-80ab-60f1654527d9_1015x572.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Away underdogs&nbsp;<em>(Campbell)<\/em>&nbsp;on a 7+ games winning streak&nbsp;<strong>are 13-35 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when the total is greater than their previous game and they are facing teams that are above 45.5% in shooting%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd627:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2705Active on Northeastern -4.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F630ce7e4-6772-42f6-84b7-e80bbf4c6fcc_712x262.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F630ce7e4-6772-42f6-84b7-e80bbf4c6fcc_712x262.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 MEMPHIS TIGERS<strong>&nbsp;are 0-17 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;against teams with less than 6 days rest, following an ATS loss in which they committed fewer than 18 turnovers. (vs USFL)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 UTA (ARLINGTON)<strong>&nbsp;is 8-0 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;after an ATS win on the road where they allowed fewer than 70 points. (vs CALB)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 IDAHO STATE<strong>&nbsp;is 8-0 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;after a road game in which they allowed fewer than 75 points. (vs MONT)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 LE MOYNE<strong>&nbsp;is 9-0 to the OVER&nbsp;<\/strong>in their last 9 games with totals below 146.5. (vs WAG)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 GEORGIA STATE&nbsp;<strong>is 9-0 to the OVER<\/strong>&nbsp;when the total is under 160.5 and the spread is under 16.5. (vs ODU)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0 MARYLAND&nbsp;<strong>is 0-11 ATS<\/strong>&nbsp;when the spread is within 4 points of a pick &#8217;em and the total is greater than 128.5. (vs NEB)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f775685-e1bf-44a5-b669-e38822fad08f_795x358.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3f775685-e1bf-44a5-b669-e38822fad08f_795x358.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>HOU ROCKETS -1.5<\/strong>&nbsp;is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>NOP\/SAC u233.5<\/strong>&nbsp;is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>UMBC -4.5 &amp; HAWAII -11.5&nbsp;<\/strong>is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2a<strong>BRYANT\/NJIT o149.5<\/strong>&nbsp;is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>\u23ea\ud83c\udfc0<strong>\u201dA-\u201d Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Houston Rockets -6.0<br><\/strong><em>(Spread went from -1.5 to -6.0 despite Warriors +6.0 receiving 52% of public bets and 77% of the money).<br><\/em>\u26a0\ufe0f<em>Line is back at opening price<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks for reading today\u2019s insights!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you found value in this post, don\u2019t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let\u2019s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you tomorrow with more winning systems \ud83c\udfc6<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb09bde22-fbdf-447d-ac40-d4277c8b3764_532x223.jpeg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb09bde22-fbdf-447d-ac40-d4277c8b3764_532x223.jpeg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83c\udfc0The Sacramento Kings&nbsp;are 27-4 to the UNDER&nbsp;when they covered a smaller than +2.0 spread in their last game and now playing on no rest with a spread between -11.5 and +5.5 \ud83d\udd628:00 PM EST \ud83d\udcc9Both teams on back-to-back, leading to fatigue and slower pace. \ud83d\udcc9Last game was high-scoring, but quick adjustments + fatigue = lower [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":366,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/366"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3921,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3920\/revisions\/3921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}