{"id":3698,"date":"2025-01-15T20:16:40","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T20:16:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=3698"},"modified":"2025-02-08T21:20:39","modified_gmt":"2025-02-08T21:20:39","slug":"%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-january-15th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2025\/01\/15\/%f0%9f%93%8aactive-systems-for-january-15th\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udccaActive Systems for January 15th"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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The Orlando Magic face the Milwaukee Buck, in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup. With the Magic currently at 23-18 and the Bucks at 21-17, this game presents an opportunity for Orlando to make a statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Magic have been battling injuries to key players like Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, and Moritz Wagner, but the return of Paolo Banchero has been a game-changer. Banchero is putting up 28.4 points per game, anchoring the offense while the defense continues to shine. Orlando is allowing just 103.2 points per game, the best mark in the league, and ranks second in defensive rating (107.1). Their ability to disrupt opponents could be critical against a Bucks squad that averages 112.7 points per game but struggles for consistency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Milwaukee enters the game after a win over Sacramento but faces a tough turnaround on the second night of a back-to-back. With Khris Middleton out and Giannis Antetokounmpo\u2019s status uncertain, their offensive depth could be tested. The Bucks also haven\u2019t been reliable against the spread, sitting at 17-21-1 on the season, while Orlando has covered in their last four meetings against Milwaukee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Magic\u2019s slower pace, ranking last in the league in possessions per game, plays to their strengths, allowing them to control the tempo and limit scoring opportunities. This could frustrate a Bucks team accustomed to faster, high-scoring games. Historically, Orlando has defended power forwards well, ranking fifth in limiting points to the position, which could be key in containing Giannis if he plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Milwaukee has star power, fatigue and injuries make this a tricky spot for them. The Magic\u2019s disciplined defense and recent track record against the Bucks suggest they\u2019ll keep this game close and competitive. With all signs pointing toward another solid defensive effort, Orlando looks well-positioned to cover the spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfc0The Milwaukee Bucks are 0-9 ATS<\/strong> vs conference opponents, following a game in which they covered the spread by more than 8 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udccaTeams who enjoyed a win at home in their last game and now facing the Milwaukee Bucks who also won their last game at home are 20-2-1 ATS<\/strong> since 2020 when their spread is bigger than +3.0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcddThe Orlando Magic who won 3 days ago vs the 76ers will now visit the Milwaukee Bucks who also won their last game yesterday night vs Sacramento by 15 points. The Magic are +5.5 underdogs at time of writing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd628:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Magic have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Orlando are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9Bucks are 3-8 ATS vs teams above .550<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9Milwaukee played twice vs Orlando this season and haven\u2019t covered once. (3 & 6 pts wins)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udda5\ufe0fScore prediction: 109-106 Orlando Magic<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83e\udd16Paolo Banchero OVER 6.5 rebounds<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2705Active on Orlando Magic +5.5 (ATS)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Indiana State has been lighting it up offensively this season, putting up 83.8 points per game, which ranks 24th in the nation. They\u2019re efficient, too, shooting 48.6% from the field. Players like Samage Teel, averaging 17.6 points, and Jaden Daughtry, adding 13.8, are key drivers of their attack. On the other side, Bradley isn\u2019t far behind, scoring 78.9 points per game while shooting an impressive 48.4% overall. Their three-point shooting is a major weapon, hitting 41.4% from deep, the 4th-best mark in the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indiana State\u2019s defense, however, has been a problem. They allow 78.4 points per game, ranking 330th nationally, and give up 44.3% shooting to opponents. In their last four losses, they\u2019ve been shredded for an average of 93.75 points. While Bradley\u2019s defense is better, allowing 67.6 points per game, they\u2019ve struggled at times against faster-paced teams. Indiana State\u2019s up-tempo style (7th in adjusted tempo) could push the pace and create more scoring chances for both sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recent trends point to more offense, too. The total has gone over in 11 of Indiana State\u2019s last 13 games, and they just put up 79 points against Belmont, even in a loss. With both teams capable of filling it up and Indiana State\u2019s defensive issues, a high-scoring game feels likely. At 154.5, the over seems like the play here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfc0Bradley are 11-0 to the OVER<\/strong> following a game in which they scored less than 70 points and shot for less than 44% from the field. These games are going over the total by an average of +11.0 points per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udccaBradley are 8-0-1 to the OVER<\/strong> when they are rested and the total is more than 147.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udccaIndiana State are 9-0 to the OVER<\/strong> when the total is less than 159.5 and they are coming off a game as a favorite. These games are going over the total by an average of +16.5 points per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd628:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Indiana St. are 9-1 to the OVER on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Indiana St. are 8-1 to the OVER on the road vs teams allowing 67 to 72 points per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Indiana St. are 8-1 to the OVER after 4+ days off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Bradley are 5-1 to the OVER when the line is over 145.0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Bradley are 2-0 to the OVER at home vs teams allowing more than 72 points per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley’s last 5 games against Indiana State.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udda5\ufe0fScore prediction: 88-83 Bradley Braves<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83e\udd16Samari Curtis OVER 15.5 points<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2705Active on Bradley @ Indiana State OVER 155.0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Tennessee (15-1) comes into this matchup with momentum after a gritty 74-70 win over Texas, bouncing back from a rare off night against Florida where their offense stalled with just 43 points. Back on their home floor at Thompson-Boling Arena, where they\u2019ve won nine straight, the Volunteers are tough to beat and bring plenty of confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Georgia (14-2) has had a solid season but faces a tough test on the road. While recent wins over Oklahoma and Kentucky show their potential, their road performances tell a different story. They\u2019ve played just two true road games, splitting those with a win over Georgia Tech and a loss at Ole Miss. That inconsistency away from home could be a major hurdle here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Defensively, Tennessee excels, ranking 13th in effective field goal percentage defense and 7th in three-point defense. They thrive on forcing turnovers, generating them at a 20.4% clip, which could be a key factor against Georgia, a team that has struggled with giveaways, especially in road games. Offensively, Tennessee has shown flashes of vulnerability but still ranks 25th in efficiency. They\u2019re dangerous from beyond the arc but heavily rely on Chaz Lanier, who\u2019s been up and down recently. Meanwhile, Georgia\u2019s offensive struggles on the road stand out, they\u2019re near the bottom in turnover rate and haven\u2019t shot better than 35% from three in any road game this season. In recent meetings, Tennessee has dominated, winning four straight and six of the last eight against Georgia. Their most recent win, an 85-79 victory, highlighted their ability to score effectively against the Bulldogs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With Tennessee\u2019s elite defense, home-court dominance, and Georgia\u2019s road woes, the Volunteers look well-positioned to control this game. Their defensive pressure and Georgia\u2019s turnover issues suggest Tennessee could cover the -12 spread with room to spare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfc0The Tennessee Volunteers are 14-5 ATS <\/strong>in 2024 when the total is below 170.0 and they scored 81 or less points in their last game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcddTennessee will host the Georgia Bulldogs tonight with a total set at 133.5 having scored only 74 points in their last win vs Texas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd628:00 PM EST<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Volunteers are 2-0 ATS when their spread is between -9.5 & -13.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8Tennessee are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Wednesday when playing at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9Bulldogs are 0-2 ATS vs teams allowing less than 67 points per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udda5\ufe0fScore prediction: 55-75 Tennessee<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2705Active on Tennessee Volunteers -12.0 (ATS)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u2b50\ufe0f\ud83c\udfc0The Memphis Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS<\/strong> following a game in which they recorded 17+ turnovers vs a conference opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n