{"id":2652,"date":"2024-09-14T16:30:45","date_gmt":"2024-09-14T16:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/?p=2652"},"modified":"2024-09-21T13:27:26","modified_gmt":"2024-09-21T13:27:26","slug":"steelers-vs-broncos-expect-low-scoring-matchup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/2024\/09\/14\/steelers-vs-broncos-expect-low-scoring-matchup\/","title":{"rendered":"Steelers vs. Broncos: Expect Low-Scoring matchup"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Money Baller team would like to introduce Giulio Lavini as a contributor to the team!  Giulio has been engaging with us and providing awesome stats and insights and wanted to share that with the rest of you.  Here&#8217;s a little bit about him:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>My name is Giulio\u2014a technical handicapper who leverages data, trends, and numbers to make informed betting decisions. I use SDQL to dive deep into analytics, but I also actively watch and follow the sports I bet on, including staying up-to-date with player and team news. By combining statistical insights with real-time information, I aim to stay ahead of the game.<\/em><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><br><a href=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/nfl\/?sport=nfl&amp;week=2&amp;gameid=7203&amp;gnum=full&amp;ha=false&amp;reg=true&amp;post=false&amp;last=true&amp;matchup=false\" title=\"\">Click here for the Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page<\/a><br><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><br><strong>Game<\/strong>: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos <br><strong>Date<\/strong>: September 15, 2024 <br><strong>Time<\/strong>: 4:25 PM ET <br><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2653\" style=\"width:585px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/1181474500.jpg.0.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><br><br>We have a notably low total for this game, and for good reason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br><strong>Trends (since 2018 unless noted):<\/strong> <br><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022 <strong>Low Totals Favor the Under:<\/strong> When the total is set at 36.5 or less, the under has hit in 30 out of 40 games (30-9-1 record). <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"155\" src=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-1024x155.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2662\" srcset=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-1024x155.png 1024w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-300x45.png 300w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-768x116.png 768w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-1536x232.png 1536w, https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-15-2048x310.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>\u2022 <strong>Home Underdogs in Specific Situations<\/strong>: The under is 22-6-1 when the home underdog is receiving 2.5 points or fewer, coming off a road loss, and the total is less than 43. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>\u2022 <strong>Non-Divisional Games with Low Totals:<\/strong> In non-divisional games where the total is 36.5 or less and the home team is getting 2.5 points or fewer, the under has a 12-5 record. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>\u2022 <strong>Steelers&#8217; Recent Trends<\/strong>: Pittsburgh is 12-4 to the under as a road favorite (6-1-1 to the under after covering their previous game). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>\u2022 <strong>Broncos as Home Underdogs<\/strong>: Denver is 14-8 to the under when playing as a home underdog. Given these strong defensive trends and the historical data supporting low-scoring outcomes in similar situations, the under appears to be the favorable play for this matchup. <br><br><br>\u2022 <strong>One Baller System active on the UNDER<\/strong>:  For Baller Access members, you can see this active on the <a href=\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/nfl\/?sport=nfl&amp;week=2&amp;gameid=7203&amp;gnum=full&amp;ha=false&amp;reg=true&amp;post=false&amp;last=true&amp;matchup=false\" title=\"\">Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><strong>Pick<\/strong>: Under 36.5<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Money Baller team would like to introduce Giulio Lavini as a contributor to the team! Giulio has been engaging with us and providing awesome stats and insights and wanted to share that with the rest of you. Here&#8217;s a little bit about him: My name is Giulio\u2014a technical handicapper who leverages data, trends, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":929,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,24],"tags":[74],"class_list":["post-2652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-betting","category-commentary","tag-nfl"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2652","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/929"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2652"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2652\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2677,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2652\/revisions\/2677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2652"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2652"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2652"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}