I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Featured Trends:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Cubs: 17-4 ML<\/strong> when Shota Imanaga starts | Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.\n
\n- Several factors point to value on the Cubs moneyline (-120, ESPN Bet) tonight. Shota Imanaga has been solid this season with a 3.06 ERA. In contrast, Ben Lively has a 3.59 ERA but a concerning 4.75 FIP, suggesting he could be due for some negative regression. The Cubs are also backed by a strong Baller Matchup Rating of 6, and supported by an active Baller System that favors teams in the first game of a road, non-divisional series when on at least a two-game winning streak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-4-1024x435.png\")
<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Astros: 0-6-1 O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Framber Valdez starts<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rays: 4-12 O\/U<\/strong> (1-8 O\/U at home) when Taj Bradley starts.\n
\n- The trends heavily favor the under in this matchup, with two solid pitchers on the mound. The table below highlights both pitchers’ stats over the last 30 days. Under 7.5 (-120, ESPN Bet) is the most favorable price we see out there.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/image-5.png\")
<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP | 15-3 ML<\/strong> since July 23, 2024<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’ (assuming Cal Quantrill and Brandon Pfaadt are starting)\n
\n- Keep an eye on this game, as some books have been slow to release lines, suggesting there could be a pitching change. If that happens, the Baller Matchup Rating could change. If not, the surging Diamondbacks make a great parlay piece or run-line candidate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Braves: 16-4-1 F5 ML<\/strong> when Chris Sale starts | 20-10-3 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.\n
\n- The Braves have been underwhelming lately, but with Chris Sale on the mound and their strong record against left-handed pitchers, we think they have a good chance to overcome the red-hot Blake Snell and the Giants. Braves F5 ML (-105, BetRivers) is a value play for today.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Here are the rest of today’s trends:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland Guardians<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Cubs: 17-4 ML<\/strong> when Shota Imanaga starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cubs: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Guardians: 25-9 <\/strong>ML vs. LHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Cardinals: 6-1 ML <\/strong>as road favorites vs. LHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cardinals: 6-1 ML and O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Sonny Gray starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Reds: 6-16-1 O\/U<\/strong> when Andrew Abbott starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Reds: 2-8 O\/U<\/strong> as home underdogs vs. RHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Astros: 0-6-1 O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Framber Valdez starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- In L30 days, Astros: 2-13-2 F5 O\/U<\/strong> vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rays: 4-12 O\/U <\/strong>when Taj Bradley starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Red Sox: 15-5-1 F5 O\/U <\/strong>when Brayan Bello starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Red Sox: 17-6-4 F5 ML <\/strong>as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Royals: 9-20 ML <\/strong>as road underdogs vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Royals: 24-10 NRFI <\/strong>as a road underdog.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- In L30 days, Brewers: 1-6-1 F5 ML<\/strong> vs. LHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Yankees, despite being a top team, struggle against lefties. They are 10-14-6 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- White Sox are 1-23 ML<\/strong> since July 12, 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Blue Jays: 5-0 O\/U <\/strong>when Bowden Francis starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML and 14-5-5 F5 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’ (assuming Cal Quantrill and Brandon Pfaadt are starting)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: 15-3 ML<\/strong> since July 23, 2024.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Pirates: 31-13 NRFI<\/strong> as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pirates: 29-15 RL (+1.5) <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Padres: 15-33 RL (-1.5)<\/strong> as home favorites.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n- Braves: 16-4-1 F5 ML<\/strong> when Chris Sale starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Braves: 15-3 NRFI <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Braves: 20-10-3 F5 ML and 21-12 ML<\/strong> vs. LHP.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Abbreviations:<\/strong>
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hello everyone! Welcome to our ‘Free Preview’ day. For those new to the site, this is a daily article we provide to our premium Baller Access subscribers. Our team went 2-0 yesterday with the featured trends! Orioles F5 RL and the Mariners\/Mets NRFI were a hit. To check out the different terms and memberships we […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,24],"tags":[39],"class_list":["post-1962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-commentary","tag-mlb"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1962"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1973,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962\/revisions\/1973"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
- \n
- Several factors point to value on the Cubs moneyline (-120, ESPN Bet) tonight. Shota Imanaga has been solid this season with a 3.06 ERA. In contrast, Ben Lively has a 3.59 ERA but a concerning 4.75 FIP, suggesting he could be due for some negative regression. The Cubs are also backed by a strong Baller Matchup Rating of 6, and supported by an active Baller System that favors teams in the first game of a road, non-divisional series when on at least a two-game winning streak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Astros: 0-6-1 O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Framber Valdez starts<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rays: 4-12 O\/U<\/strong> (1-8 O\/U at home) when Taj Bradley starts.\n
- \n
- The trends heavily favor the under in this matchup, with two solid pitchers on the mound. The table below highlights both pitchers’ stats over the last 30 days. Under 7.5 (-120, ESPN Bet) is the most favorable price we see out there.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP | 15-3 ML<\/strong> since July 23, 2024<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’ (assuming Cal Quantrill and Brandon Pfaadt are starting)\n
- \n
- Keep an eye on this game, as some books have been slow to release lines, suggesting there could be a pitching change. If that happens, the Baller Matchup Rating could change. If not, the surging Diamondbacks make a great parlay piece or run-line candidate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Braves: 16-4-1 F5 ML<\/strong> when Chris Sale starts | 20-10-3 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.\n
- \n
- The Braves have been underwhelming lately, but with Chris Sale on the mound and their strong record against left-handed pitchers, we think they have a good chance to overcome the red-hot Blake Snell and the Giants. Braves F5 ML (-105, BetRivers) is a value play for today.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Here are the rest of today’s trends:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland Guardians<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Cubs: 17-4 ML<\/strong> when Shota Imanaga starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cubs: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Guardians: 25-9 <\/strong>ML vs. LHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Cardinals: 6-1 ML <\/strong>as road favorites vs. LHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cardinals: 6-1 ML and O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Sonny Gray starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Reds: 6-16-1 O\/U<\/strong> when Andrew Abbott starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Reds: 2-8 O\/U<\/strong> as home underdogs vs. RHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Astros: 0-6-1 O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Framber Valdez starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- In L30 days, Astros: 2-13-2 F5 O\/U<\/strong> vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rays: 4-12 O\/U <\/strong>when Taj Bradley starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Red Sox: 15-5-1 F5 O\/U <\/strong>when Brayan Bello starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Red Sox: 17-6-4 F5 ML <\/strong>as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Royals: 9-20 ML <\/strong>as road underdogs vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Royals: 24-10 NRFI <\/strong>as a road underdog.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- In L30 days, Brewers: 1-6-1 F5 ML<\/strong> vs. LHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Yankees, despite being a top team, struggle against lefties. They are 10-14-6 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- White Sox are 1-23 ML<\/strong> since July 12, 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Blue Jays: 5-0 O\/U <\/strong>when Bowden Francis starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML and 14-5-5 F5 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’ (assuming Cal Quantrill and Brandon Pfaadt are starting)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: 15-3 ML<\/strong> since July 23, 2024.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Pirates: 31-13 NRFI<\/strong> as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pirates: 29-15 RL (+1.5) <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Padres: 15-33 RL (-1.5)<\/strong> as home favorites.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants<\/h2>\n\n\n\n- \n
- Braves: 16-4-1 F5 ML<\/strong> when Chris Sale starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Braves: 15-3 NRFI <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Braves: 20-10-3 F5 ML and 21-12 ML<\/strong> vs. LHP.
<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Abbreviations:<\/strong>
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hello everyone! Welcome to our ‘Free Preview’ day. For those new to the site, this is a daily article we provide to our premium Baller Access subscribers. Our team went 2-0 yesterday with the featured trends! Orioles F5 RL and the Mariners\/Mets NRFI were a hit. To check out the different terms and memberships we […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,24],"tags":[39],"class_list":["post-1962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting","category-commentary","tag-mlb"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1962"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1973,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1962\/revisions\/1973"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/themoneyballer.com\/access\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
- Braves: 15-3 NRFI <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pirates: 29-15 RL (+1.5) <\/strong>as road underdogs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML and 14-5-5 F5 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- White Sox are 1-23 ML<\/strong> since July 12, 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
- Yankees, despite being a top team, struggle against lefties. They are 10-14-6 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Royals: 24-10 NRFI <\/strong>as a road underdog.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
- Red Sox: 17-6-4 F5 ML <\/strong>as home favorites vs. RHP.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
- In L30 days, Astros: 2-13-2 F5 O\/U<\/strong> vs. RHP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cardinals: 6-1 ML and O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Sonny Gray starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Cubs: 17-4 ML<\/strong> when Shota Imanaga starts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- The Braves have been underwhelming lately, but with Chris Sale on the mound and their strong record against left-handed pitchers, we think they have a good chance to overcome the red-hot Blake Snell and the Giants. Braves F5 ML (-105, BetRivers) is a value play for today.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
- Braves: 16-4-1 F5 ML<\/strong> when Chris Sale starts | 20-10-3 F5 ML <\/strong>vs. LHP.\n
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’ (assuming Cal Quantrill and Brandon Pfaadt are starting)\n
- Diamondbacks: 17-7 ML<\/strong> as home favorites vs. RHP | 15-3 ML<\/strong> since July 23, 2024<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rays: 4-12 O\/U<\/strong> (1-8 O\/U at home) when Taj Bradley starts.\n
- Astros: 0-6-1 O\/U<\/strong> as road favorites when Framber Valdez starts<\/li>\n\n\n\n