Welcome to the FIRST Money Baller Report for 2025! Thank you all for a wonderful 2024. We are thankful for your support and business and look forward to a successful 2025. We are working on developing some back-end tools aimed at increasing speed and performance, while bringing additional data and features.
We ended 2024 poorly, with a 1-4 on the featured trends from Friday’s report – let’s bounce back on today’s New Year slate!
Published: Wednesday, January 1- 12:33 PM CST
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New Years Day Angles
Small sample size, but home teams are 9-2 ATS and 2-8-1 O/U in previous 2 seasons
Dating back to the 2013-2014 season, on New Years Day, road teams off a home win are 2-17 SU and 3-16 ATS. This is active to fade the Magic.
Magic @ Pistons
- Magic: 11-23 1H ATS
- Baller System active to play on the Pistons: Conference home favorite with revenge
- Situational Spots: Rest advantage and revenge favor the Pistons.
- New Years Day angle shared above fading the Magic.
TMB Thoughts: We like the Pistons in this spot, but the best angle is Pistons 1H -1. The Pistons’ offense has been clicking in the last 10 days (10th in Offensive Rating) and we have no interest in playing them full game as the scrappy Magic have a tendency for 2nd half comebacks.
Bulls @ Wizards
- 1 Baller System favoring Wizards (fading team off OT win)
- 2 Baller Systems on the Over
TMB Thoughts: Situational angles point to the Wizards, but we don’t trust them enough. Passing on this one.
Pelicans @ Heat
- Heat: 0-6 1H ATS and 1-5 full game ATS on the first game of a B2B
- Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U on first game of B2B
- Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U with more rest than opponent
- Pelicans: 3-12 ATS on the road
TMB Thoughts: The Heat 1H trends are interesting – I don’t think it’s enough to be actionable, especially with the Pelicans’ horrid defense. We’ll pass on it.
Nets @ Raptors
- Nets: 21-11 1H ATS
- Nets: 5-1 1H ATS on the first game of a B2B
- Nets: 6-1 1H ATS with more rest than opponent
- 2 Baller Systems active on the Nets
TMB Thoughts: Trends point to Nets 1H, but they’ve shifted from favorites to underdogs. With D’Angelo Russell’s debut, this game feels unpredictable. We are passing, for now.
Mavericks @ Rockets
- Rockets: 10-22 1H O/U
- Mavericks: Luka Doncic out
- Mavericks: Travel fatigue (4th straight game on the road)
- Rockets short-handed (Amen Thompson suspended)
TMB Thoughts: With both teams facing key absences and 2 Baller Systems favoring the under, the play is the under. We are playing the 1H Under 114.
Hawks @ Nuggets
- Nuggets: 20-11 O/U
- Hawks: 21-11-1 O/U
- 2 Baller Systems on the Over
TMB Thoughts: Two over-leaning teams and system plays point to Over 246.5. High total, but we trust the pace and defensive issues to push it over.
76ers @ Kings
- Kings: 12-21 ATS (6-13 ATS at home)
- Kings: 2-12 ATS as favorites of 2.5-7 points
- 76ers: 9-21 1H O/U
TMB Thoughts: Neither team has been trustworthy this season. We will sit this one out.