Hello Ballers! 3-3 on yesterday’s featured trends. Here’s today’s Money Baller Report with a breakdown of all of our favorite trends and systems on today’s slate:
Published: Sunday, November 24, 2024 10:45 AM CT
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Boston Celtics
- TMB thoughts: Neither team has been reliable against the spread this season. However, the Timberwolves have some slight situational advantages, which lead us to lean toward Timberwolves +8. That said, the edge isn’t strong enough for a confident play, so we’ll ultimately pass on this one.
Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers
- Wizards: 3-11 1H ATS
- TMB thoughts: The Wizards have been a consistent 1H fade. If you like the Pacers, we think the 1H is the way to go. We’re hesitant to trust them given the variability of their performances.
- TMB thoughts: The Wizards have been a consistent 1H fade. If you like the Pacers, we think the 1H is the way to go. We’re hesitant to trust them given the variability of their performances.
Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat
- Mavericks: 5-0 1H ATS and 4-1 ATS as road underdogs.
- Mavericks: 7-2 ATS in games where Luka Doncic sits and Kyrie Irving plays.
- Heat: 1-4 ATS at home.
- TMB thoughts: The trends lean toward the Mavericks. However, situational spots/rest advantage favor Miami, making this a challenging game to evaluate. The Mavericks’ recent success without Luka, including outright wins against the Nuggets and Thunder, makes them intriguing.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers
- Clippers: 10-6-1 ATS
- 76ers: 4-11 ATS
- 76ers: 0-7 1H O/U at home
- Clippers: 0-4 1H O/U on first game of B2B.
- Clippers: 5-11-1 1H O/U
- TMB thoughts: With key players Joel Embiid and Paul George out, this game leans heavily toward a slower pace and lower scoring. The Clippers’ strong defensive presence (5th in Defensive Rating) combined with the 76ers’ offensive struggles (28th in Offensive Rating) backs a 1H Under 103 play.
On the spread, the Clippers’ recent form and overall ATS record (10-6-1) provide a lean to Clippers -2 (no higher than -2). The line feels light for a surging Clippers squad, and they’re well-positioned to cover against a depleted 76ers team.
- TMB thoughts: With key players Joel Embiid and Paul George out, this game leans heavily toward a slower pace and lower scoring. The Clippers’ strong defensive presence (5th in Defensive Rating) combined with the 76ers’ offensive struggles (28th in Offensive Rating) backs a 1H Under 103 play.
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
- Cavaliers: 13-4 ATS (7-2 ATS as home favorites)
- Raptors: 11-5 ATS
- TMB Thoughts: Both teams have excelled ATS this season. We have a few Baller Systems and situational spots favoring the Raptors, which may give them an edge to keep this game closer than the spread suggests.
We lean toward Raptors +11.5, as the line appears inflated considering their competitive nature against strong teams. However, given the Cavaliers’ consistent dominance, we’re keeping this as a lean and not an official play.