Hello Ballers! 3-1 on Friday’s featured trends! Here’s today’s Money Baller Report with a breakdown of all of our favorite trends and systems on today’s slate:
Published: Saturday, November 23, 2024 3:59 PM CT
New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz
- TMB thoughts: Situational factors point to the Knicks. The Jazz are returning from a long road trip, a scenario where teams often struggle. With 8 of their last 10 games played on the road, fatigue is likely to play a role in what looks like a let-down spot at home. We’re backing Knicks -8.5 in this matchup.
Charlotte Hornets @ Milwaukee Bucks
- TMB thoughts: Signs point to fading the Hornets after a grueling OT win where they relied on unsustainable three-point shooting (20/44). Fatigue could be a factor here, especially against a Bucks team that has won 5 of their last 6 games and is seeking revenge for a loss to Charlotte a week ago. While Milwaukee is also on the second game of a back-to-back, they’ve been finding their rhythm. We’re backing Bucks -7.5.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Chicago Bulls
- TMB thoughts: Strong signals favor the Grizzlies in this matchup, fading the Bulls in a classic letdown spot. Chicago is coming off a second game of a back-to-back where they won outright as underdogs, often a tough situation to maintain momentum. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have been stellar in the first half, boasting a 12-4 1H ATS record this season. We’re playing Grizzlies 1H -2.5, and we like their chances to cover the full game as well.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Houston Rockets
- Rockets hold their opponents’ team total 2-14-1 to the under
- TMB thoughts: The Rockets’ elite defense (3rd in Defensive Rating) has been a key factor this season, holding opponents’ team totals to the under in 14 of 17 games (2-14-1). Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers rank 30th in Offensive Rating, further supporting a low-scoring outlook for their offense. We’re backing Blazers Team Total Under 107.5 as the play here.
Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs
- TMB thoughts: This matchup features one of our favorite Baller Systems, signaling a strong fade on the Warriors. Golden State is in a classic letdown scenario: the second game of a back-to-back, their third game in four nights, and the fourth game in six nights, all while on the road after a win. With this situational factor in mind, we’re backing Spurs +3 as the play.
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers
- TMB thoughts: Multiple systems support the over in this matchup. Both teams are strong offensive units (Lakers 4th, Nuggets 7th in Offensive Rating) and weaker on the defensive end (Lakers 23rd, Nuggets 17th). They also play at an above-average pace (Nuggets 9th, Lakers 13th), creating an environment conducive to scoring. With the Nuggets at 10-4 O/U and the Lakers at 9-6 O/U, the over 235 looks appealing. Another angle to consider: the Lakers Team Total Over 119.5, which is a perfect 6-0-1 this season as home favorites.