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The featured trends went 1-0-1 yesterday, and the matchups with strong Baller Matchup Ratings all came through (Braves, Giants). I am not counting the Astros as I went out of my way to not endorse them at -405, but they won and covered, nonetheless. Back on the winning track – let’s keep it going!
I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:
Featured Trends:
- Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP
- In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts
- In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 O/U vs. LHP
- These trends point towards an under in the pitchers’ park at AT&T Park in San Francisco. With the Chicago White Sox sporting the worst offense in the league, we’re not expecting many runs. We’re favoring the Under 8 (-115, DraftKings).
Here are the rest of today’s trends:
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins
- No starting pitchers announced and thus, no interesting trends to note at the moment.
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays
- Blue Jays: 18-6 O/U when Kevin Gausman starts.
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
- Mets: 10-3 ML when David Peterson starts.
- Mets: 32-15 NRFI as home favorites.
- Orioles: 11-20-2 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers
- Pirates: 32-15 NRFI as road underdogs.
Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros
- Yusei Kikuchi’s teams are 0-10 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.
- Red Sox: 25-10-1 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
- In L30 days, Red Sox: 0-5 ML when Tanner Houck starts.
Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals
- Royals: 20-9 ML and 17-5-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics
- Rays: 4-13 O/U when Taj Bradley starts.
- 2 Baller Systems active on the Rays.
Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres
- In L30 days, Padres: 4-0 F5 and full game ML when Michael King starts.
- In L30 days, Padres: 13-4 ML (5-0 ML as home favorites) vs. RHP.
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants
- In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 F5 and full game O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts.
- White Sox: 7-17-1 O/U as road underdogs vs LHP.
- In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 F5 and full game O/U vs. LHP.
- Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP.
Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers
- Mariners: 10-3-2 F5 ML when Bryan Woo starts.
- Mariners: 5-14 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
- In L14 days, Dodgers: 9-2-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.
Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)