Top MLB Betting Trends To Watch | Sunday, July 21

Austin Wang

2 years ago

Hello Ballers! Hope everyone is having a great weekend. I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:

Cardinals: 9-1 to the under as road underdogs when Miles Mikolas starts | Braves: 7-1 to the under when Spencer Schwellenbach starts
- There are nice aligning trends supporting the under on both sides. Furthermore, the Braves are 21-11-2 to the under at home vs. RHP.
Marlins: 4-14-1 F5 ML when Trevor Rogers starts (1-7 F5 ML as home underdogs) | In L30 days, Marlins: 2-14 F5 ML vs. RHP
- Fading Rogers and the Marlins in the F5? Sign me up!
Royals: 15-5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP | White Sox: 7-31 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP
- We’ll ride this one again. With Seth Lugo on the mound for the Royals, we want to use this opportunity to include the Royals in a parlay.

Here are the rest of today’s trends:

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

Cardinals: 9-1 to the under as road underdogs when Miles Mikolas starts.
Cardinals: 14-6 to the NRFI when Mikolas starts.
Braves: 7-1 to the under when Spencer Schwellenbach starts.

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals

In L30 days, Reds: 19-6 NRFI.
In L30 days, Reds: 8-2 RL (+1.5) as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates: 17-6 RL (+1.5) as home underdogs.
In L30 days, Pirates: 19-7 NRFI.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

Yankees: 22-6-3 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.

Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays: 14-5 to the over when Kevin Gausman starts.
In L30 days, Blue Jays: 16-3-1 to the over vs. RHP. (8-0 to the over in L14 days).
Blue Jays: 24-9 NRFI as home favorites.
In L14 days, Tigers: 7-0 RL (+1.5) as underdogs.
Tigers: won 8 of their previous 9 games.

San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians

Padres: 23-8 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs.
Padres: 8-0 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs when Michael King starts.
Guardians: 6-0 ML and 5-0-1 F5 ML as home favorites when Ben Lively starts.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

Marlins: 17-5-1 to the over as home underdogs vs. RHP.
Marlins: 4-15 ML and 4-14-1 F5 ML when Trevor Rogers starts (1-7 F5 and full game ML as home underdogs).
In L30 days, Marlins: 2-14 F5 ML vs. RHP.
In L30 days, Mets: 18-6 NRFI.

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals

White Sox: 7-31 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
Royals: 15-4-1 F5 under as home favorites vs. RHP.
Royals: 15-5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
Royals: 13-5-2 F5 ML (5-0 F5 ML as home favorites) when Seth Lugo starts.
Royals: 15-5 NRFI when Lugo starts.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins

Brewers: 5-14 ML when Aaron Civale starts (1-6 as road underdogs).

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

Diamondbacks: 7-1-2 F5 over as road underdogs vs. LHP.
Diamondbacks: 26-13 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs.
Cubs: 15-4 ML when Shota Imanaga starts (6-1 ML as home favorites).
Cubs: 25-9 NRFI as home favorites.
Cubs: 9-25 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.

Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

Orioles: 6-1 F5 under as road favorites vs. LHP.
Orioles: 30-14 NRFI on the road.

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

Rockies: 5-14 ML and 14-5 to the over when Ryan Feltner starts.
In L30 days, Rockies: 10-3 RL (+1.5) as home underdogs.

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics

Athletics: 7-1 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Red Sox: 19-8-1 F5 over vs. LHP.
Dodgers: 5-0 F5 ML as home favorites when James Paxton starts.

Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners

Mariners: 29-10 NRFI as home favorites.
In L30 days, Mariners: 3-12 RL (-1.5) as favorites (0-6 RL as home favorites).
In L30 days, Astros are 10-2 RL (+1.5) as an underdog.
Astros: 14-4 to the under when Ronel Blanco starts.

Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)